Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 • Sportitalia Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.69 (league 1.49) 1.64 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.4% 17.7% 21.7%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.8%
3 - 1
7.0%
2 - 2
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
Leon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Folgore Caratese 0 1.3% 2.2% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 3.5% 5.8% 4.8% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
2 4.8% 7.8% 6.4% 3.5% 1.4% 0.5%
3 4.3% 7.0% 5.7% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
4 2.9% 4.7% 3.9% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
5 1.5% 2.5% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFolgore CarateseLeon
Played44
Form100%33%
Attack100%71%
Defense57%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.85 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.85 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Folgore Caratese Leon
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins100%100%100%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%100%100%100%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Folgore Caratese: WWWW • Leon: DDDD

League goals

Metric Folgore Caratese Leon
HATHAT
GF total437145
GF avg2.01.51.80.52.01.3
GA total213145
GA avg1.00.50.80.52.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFolgore CarateseLeon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%75%75%75%
1.575%0%50%50%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFolgore CarateseLeon
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricFolgore CarateseLeon
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFolgore CarateseLeon
Wins40
Draws04
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-2
Biggest losses
Goals For2212
Goals Against1112

Model comparison

MetricFolgore CarateseLeon
Form75%25%
Att58%42%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total66.8%33.5%

Advice: Double chance : Folgore Caratese or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Folgore Caratese = 2.69 (league 1.49), Leon = 1.64 (league 1.22)

Leon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Folgore Caratese 0 1.3% 2.2% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 3.5% 5.8% 4.8% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
2 4.8% 7.8% 6.4% 3.5% 1.4% 0.5%
3 4.3% 7.0% 5.7% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
4 2.9% 4.7% 3.9% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
5 1.5% 2.5% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.4% · Draw 17.7% · Away win 21.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1