Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Coni Castellina
Expected Goals
0.35 (league 1.42)
0.83 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 14.8% | 40.3% | 44.9% |
best score tips
0 - 0
30.6%
0 - 1
25.5%
1 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Castellanzese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sondrio | 0 | 30.6% | 25.5% | 10.6% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.8% | 9.0% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sondrio | Castellanzese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 0% | 25% |
| Attack | 14% | 43% |
| Defense | 0% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.3 | 3 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
58%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
56%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sondrio | Castellanzese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| Loses | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
Form: Sondrio: LLLL • Castellanzese: DDLD
League goals
| Metric | Sondrio | Castellanzese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sondrio | Castellanzese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 25% | 100% | 50% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 75% | 25% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sondrio | Castellanzese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sondrio | Castellanzese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sondrio | Castellanzese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sondrio | Castellanzese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 38% | 63% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 39.2% | 61.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Castellanzese and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sondrio = 0.35 (league 1.42), Castellanzese = 0.83 (league 1.20)
| Castellanzese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sondrio | 0 | 30.6% | 25.5% | 10.6% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.8% | 9.0% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.8% · Draw 40.3% · Away win 44.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1