Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 •
Campo Sportivo Comunale Villa D'Almè
Expected Goals
1.33 (league 1.50)
1.23 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 39.0% | 26.6% | 34.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
1 - 0
10.3%
0 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Varesina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Villa Valle | 0 | 7.7% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.3% | 12.6% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Villa Valle | Varesina |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 4 |
| Form | 67% | 25% |
| Attack | 100% | 71% |
| Defense | 57% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 2.3 | 5 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 7 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
85%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Villa Valle | Varesina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 100% | 67% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 33% | 100% | 50% | 75% |
Form: Villa Valle: WLW • Varesina: LLWL
League goals
| Metric | Villa Valle | Varesina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Villa Valle | Varesina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 67% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | 50% | 75% |
| 2.5 | 67% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Villa Valle | Varesina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Villa Valle | Varesina |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Villa Valle | Varesina |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | — | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | — | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Villa Valle | Varesina |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 70% | 30% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 60.0% | 40.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Villa Valle or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Villa Valle = 1.33 (league 1.50), Varesina = 1.23 (league 1.22)
| Varesina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Villa Valle | 0 | 7.7% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.3% | 12.6% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.0% · Draw 26.6% · Away win 34.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1