Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 •
Campo Sportivo Comunale Libico
Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.43)
1.04 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.3% | 25.2% | 24.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
1 - 0
11.5%
2 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Pavia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Calepina | 0 | 7.3% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.5% | 12.0% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.1% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Real Calepina | Pavia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 58% | 25% |
| Attack | 100% | 57% |
| Defense | 29% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 10 | 2.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Real Calepina | Pavia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 100% | 50% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 25% | 100% | 50% | 75% |
Form: Real Calepina: LWDW • Pavia: LLWL
League goals
| Metric | Real Calepina | Pavia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 5 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| GA avg | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Real Calepina | Pavia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 75% | 50% | 25% | 75% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Real Calepina | Pavia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Real Calepina | Pavia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Real Calepina | Pavia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-3 | — | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | — | 2-5 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Real Calepina | Pavia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 70% | 30% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 68.0% | 32.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Real Calepina or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Real Calepina = 1.58 (league 1.43), Pavia = 1.04 (league 1.20)
| Pavia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Calepina | 0 | 7.3% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.5% | 12.0% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.1% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.3% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 24.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1