Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Carlo Rossoni
Expected Goals
0.53 (league 1.43)
0.42 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.8% | 48.0% | 22.2% |
best score tips
0 - 0
39.0%
1 - 0
20.5%
0 - 1
16.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Milan II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 0 | 39.0% | 16.2% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.5% | 8.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | Milan II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 73% |
| Attack | 36% | 71% |
| Defense | 71% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | Milan II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 20% | 67% | 50% | 60% |
| Draws | 50% | 67% | 60% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Virtus Ciserano Bergamo: DDWLD • Milan II: WDWDW
League goals
| Metric | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | Milan II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | Milan II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 80% | 80% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 0% | 80% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 40% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | Milan II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | Milan II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | Milan II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | Milan II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 35% | 65% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 47.0% | 53.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Milan II and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Virtus Ciserano Bergamo = 0.53 (league 1.43), Milan II = 0.42 (league 1.20)
| Milan II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 0 | 39.0% | 16.2% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.5% | 8.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.8% · Draw 48.0% · Away win 22.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1
