Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 •
Leon Arena
Expected Goals
0.67 (league 1.50)
1.02 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 23.4% | 33.4% | 43.1% |
best score tips
0 - 1
18.9%
0 - 0
18.5%
1 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Oltrepò | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leon | 0 | 18.5% | 18.9% | 9.6% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.3% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Leon | Oltrepò |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 47% |
| Attack | 36% | 50% |
| Defense | 64% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Leon | Oltrepò | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
| Draws | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 67% | 0% | 40% |
Form: Leon: DDDDD • Oltrepò: WWLDL
League goals
| Metric | Leon | Oltrepò | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Leon | Oltrepò | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 60% | 80% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 40% | 40% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Leon | Oltrepò | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Leon | Oltrepò |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Leon | Oltrepò |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 2 |
| Draws | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 1-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-3 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Leon | Oltrepò |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 49% | 51% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 48.8% | 51.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Leon or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Leon = 0.67 (league 1.50), Oltrepò = 1.02 (league 1.22)
| Oltrepò | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leon | 0 | 18.5% | 18.9% | 9.6% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.3% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.4% · Draw 33.4% · Away win 43.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1