Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Pietro Fortunati
Expected Goals
0.50 (league 1.50)
4.29 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3% | 3.8% | 68.7% |
best score tips
0 - 4
11.7%
0 - 3
10.9%
0 - 5
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Folgore Caratese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pavia | 0 | 0.8% | 3.6% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.1% |
| 1 | 0.4% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pavia | Folgore Caratese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 87% |
| Attack | 36% | 50% |
| Defense | 7% | 79% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
90%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pavia | Folgore Caratese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 0% | 33% | 20% | 67% | 100% | 80% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
| Loses | 100% | 67% | 80% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Pavia: LLWLL • Folgore Caratese: WWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Pavia | Folgore Caratese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 7 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GA avg | 3.5 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pavia | Folgore Caratese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 80% | 80% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 80% | 60% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 60% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pavia | Folgore Caratese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pavia | Folgore Caratese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pavia | Folgore Caratese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-1 | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 3-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pavia | Folgore Caratese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 19% | 81% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 19% | 81% |
| Poisson Distribution | 15% | 85% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 23.8% | 76.3% |
Advice: Winner : Folgore Caratese
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Pavia = 0.50 (league 1.50), Folgore Caratese = 4.29 (league 1.22)
| Folgore Caratese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pavia | 0 | 0.8% | 3.6% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.1% |
| 1 | 0.4% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.3% · Draw 3.8% · Away win 68.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1