Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Comunale Giovanni Provasi
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.43)
2.08 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 14.1% | 19.9% | 64.0% |
best score tips
0 - 2
11.7%
0 - 1
11.2%
1 - 2
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Real Calepina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Castellanzese | 0 | 5.4% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Castellanzese | Real Calepina |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 67% |
| Attack | 79% | 79% |
| Defense | 71% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Castellanzese | Real Calepina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 0% | 33% | 20% | 33% | 100% | 60% |
| Draws | 100% | 33% | 60% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 20% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
Form: Castellanzese: DDLDW • Real Calepina: LWDWW
League goals
| Metric | Castellanzese | Real Calepina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Castellanzese | Real Calepina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 40% | 100% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 40% | 80% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 0% | 40% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Castellanzese | Real Calepina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Castellanzese | Real Calepina |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Castellanzese | Real Calepina |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-8 | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 1-3 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 8 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Castellanzese | Real Calepina |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 44.8% | 55.4% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Real Calepina
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Castellanzese = 0.84 (league 1.43), Real Calepina = 2.08 (league 1.20)
| Real Calepina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Castellanzese | 0 | 5.4% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.1% · Draw 19.9% · Away win 64.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1