Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Coni Castellina
Expected Goals
0.27 (league 1.47)
4.27 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5% | 2.7% | 71.0% |
best score tips
0 - 4
14.9%
0 - 3
13.9%
0 - 5
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Leon | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sondrio | 0 | 1.1% | 4.6% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 12.7% |
| 1 | 0.3% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sondrio | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 0% | 27% |
| Attack | 0% | 36% |
| Defense | 0% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sondrio | Leon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 67% | 100% | 83% |
| Loses | 100% | 100% | 100% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
Form: Sondrio: LLLLLL • Leon: DDDDDL
League goals
| Metric | Sondrio | Leon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GF avg | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 12 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GA avg | 4.0 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sondrio | Leon | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 17% | 100% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 67% | 33% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sondrio | Leon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sondrio | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sondrio | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-8 | 3-0 | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sondrio | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 0% | 100% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 9% | 91% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 19.0% | 81.0% |
Advice: Winner : Leon
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sondrio = 0.27 (league 1.47), Leon = 4.27 (league 1.22)
| Leon | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sondrio | 0 | 1.1% | 4.6% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 12.7% |
| 1 | 0.3% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.5% · Draw 2.7% · Away win 71.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1