Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 13:00 •
Campo Comunale
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.50)
1.88 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.1% | 22.4% | 45.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.7%
1 - 2
9.1%
2 - 1
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Vogherese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Varesina | 0 | 3.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 5.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 3.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Varesina | Vogherese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 33% |
| Attack | 50% | 29% |
| Defense | 43% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Varesina | Vogherese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 0% | 33% | 17% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Draws | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Loses | 67% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 67% | 50% |
Form: Varesina: LLWLDD • Vogherese: LDDLLW
League goals
| Metric | Varesina | Vogherese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 7 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| GA avg | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Varesina | Vogherese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 83% | 50% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 67% | 17% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Varesina | Vogherese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Varesina | Vogherese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Varesina | Vogherese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-2 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Varesina | Vogherese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 38% | 62% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 51.0% | 49.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Varesina or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Varesina = 1.48 (league 1.50), Vogherese = 1.88 (league 1.23)
| Vogherese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Varesina | 0 | 3.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 5.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 3.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.1% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 45.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1