Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 13:00 • Campo Sportivo Comunale Brusaporto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.41) 1.16 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.5% 26.3% 30.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
1 - 0
10.8%
2 - 1
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Pavia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brusaporto 0 7.6% 8.8% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 10.8% 12.5% 7.3% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.6% 8.8% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.6% 4.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBrusaportoPavia
Played55
Form67%20%
Attack64%36%
Defense50%21%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Brusaporto Pavia
HATHAT
Played235336
Wins50%67%60%0%33%17%
Draws0%33%20%0%0%0%
Loses50%0%20%100%67%83%

Form: Brusaporto: WLWWD • Pavia: LLWLLL

League goals

Metric Brusaporto Pavia
HATHAT
GF total279325
GF avg1.02.31.81.00.70.8
GA total4378614
GA avg2.01.01.42.72.02.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBrusaportoPavia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%67%83%
1.580%40%17%67%
2.520%20%0%50%
3.50%0%0%17%
4.50%0%0%17%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBrusaportoPavia
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score101112

Penalties

MetricBrusaportoPavia
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBrusaportoPavia
Wins21
Draws00
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-3—0-1
Biggest losses0-3—2-53-0
Goals For2321
Goals Against3253

Model comparison

MetricBrusaportoPavia
Form77%23%
Att64%36%
Def61%39%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total66.3%33.8%

Advice: Double chance : Brusaporto or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ Bet365
Draw3.90 @ Marathonbet
Away5.58 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Marathonbet
No1.86 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Brusaporto = 1.41 (league 1.41), Pavia = 1.16 (league 1.21)

Pavia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brusaporto 0 7.6% 8.8% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 10.8% 12.5% 7.3% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.6% 8.8% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.6% 4.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.5% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 30.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1