Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Pietro Fortunati
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.50)
0.22 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 60.0% | 32.7% | 7.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
29.3%
0 - 0
25.8%
2 - 0
16.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Sondrio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pavia | 0 | 25.8% | 5.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 29.3% | 6.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.6% | 3.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pavia | Sondrio |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 0% |
| Attack | 38% | 0% |
| Defense | 8% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 16 | 3.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
82%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pavia | Sondrio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 0% | 25% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 100% | 75% | 86% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Form: Pavia: LLWLLLL • Sondrio: LLLLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Pavia | Sondrio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 |
| GA total | 8 | 9 | 17 | 14 | 5 | 19 |
| GA avg | 2.7 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 2.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pavia | Sondrio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 86% | 14% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 71% | 0% | 71% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 57% | 0% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 14% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pavia | Sondrio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pavia | Sondrio |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pavia | Sondrio |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 7 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-1 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 3-0 | 0-8 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pavia | Sondrio |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 100% | 0% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 57.0% | 43.0% |
Advice: Winner : Pavia
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Pavia = 1.13 (league 1.50), Sondrio = 0.22 (league 1.22)
| Sondrio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pavia | 0 | 25.8% | 5.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 29.3% | 6.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.6% | 3.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.0% · Draw 32.7% · Away win 7.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1