Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Comunale Giovanni Provasi
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.50)
2.44 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.9% | 17.9% | 62.3% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.5%
0 - 2
8.3%
1 - 1
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Brusaporto | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Castellanzese | 0 | 2.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| 1 | 3.2% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.3% | |
| 2 | 1.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Castellanzese | Brusaporto |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 67% |
| Attack | 100% | 77% |
| Defense | 38% | 46% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Castellanzese | Brusaporto | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 33% | 25% | 29% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Draws | 67% | 25% | 43% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 29% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
Form: Castellanzese: DDLDWWL • Brusaporto: WLWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Castellanzese | Brusaporto | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 10 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 4 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Castellanzese | Brusaporto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 57% | 83% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 57% | 83% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Castellanzese | Brusaporto | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Castellanzese | Brusaporto |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Castellanzese | Brusaporto |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 0-8 | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 0-3 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 8 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Castellanzese | Brusaporto |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 38% | 62% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 50.2% | 49.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Castellanzese or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Castellanzese = 1.13 (league 1.50), Brusaporto = 2.44 (league 1.22)
| Brusaporto | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Castellanzese | 0 | 2.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| 1 | 3.2% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.3% | |
| 2 | 1.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.9% · Draw 17.9% · Away win 62.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1