Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 13:00 • Leon Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.47 (league 1.50) 1.88 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.3% 20.0% 70.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.0%
0 - 2
16.9%
0 - 3
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Real Calepina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leon Monza e Brianza 0 9.6% 18.0% 16.9% 10.6% 5.0% 1.9%
1 4.5% 8.4% 7.9% 4.9% 2.3% 0.9%
2 1.0% 2.0% 1.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeon Monza e BrianzaReal Calepina
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack38%69%
Defense69%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leon Monza e Brianza Real Calepina
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins0%25%14%25%67%43%
Draws67%75%71%25%0%14%
Loses33%0%14%50%33%43%

Form: Leon Monza e Brianza: DDDDDLW • Real Calepina: LWDWWLL

League goals

Metric Leon Monza e Brianza Real Calepina
HATHAT
GF total2686713
GF avg0.71.51.11.52.31.9
GA total3479312
GA avg1.01.01.02.31.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeon Monza e BrianzaReal Calepina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%57%86%71%
1.543%43%71%57%
2.50%0%29%43%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeon Monza e BrianzaReal Calepina
HATHAT
Clean sheets123022
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricLeon Monza e BrianzaReal Calepina
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricLeon Monza e BrianzaReal Calepina
Wins02
Draws51
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-23-10-3
Biggest losses1-2—0-33-2
Goals For1233
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricLeon Monza e BrianzaReal Calepina
Form46%54%
Att36%64%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution25%75%
H2h100%0%
Goals63%38%
Total47.8%52.4%

Advice: Double chance : Leon Monza e Brianza or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leon Monza e Brianza = 0.47 (league 1.50), Real Calepina = 1.88 (league 1.22)

Real Calepina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leon Monza e Brianza 0 9.6% 18.0% 16.9% 10.6% 5.0% 1.9%
1 4.5% 8.4% 7.9% 4.9% 2.3% 0.9%
2 1.0% 2.0% 1.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.3% · Draw 20.0% · Away win 70.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1