Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale Giovanni Parisi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.35 (league 1.43) 0.62 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.5% 46.5% 36.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
37.8%
0 - 1
23.5%
1 - 0
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Castellanzese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vogherese 0 37.8% 23.5% 7.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.2% 8.2% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVoghereseCastellanzese
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack36%100%
Defense64%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.814 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vogherese Castellanzese
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%0%25%25%25%25%
Draws25%50%38%50%25%38%
Loses25%50%38%25%50%38%

Form: Vogherese: LDDLLWDW • Castellanzese: DDLDWWLL

League goals

Metric Vogherese Castellanzese
HATHAT
GF total24651015
GF avg0.51.00.81.32.51.9
GA total167549
GA avg0.31.50.91.31.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVoghereseCastellanzese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%63%63%63%
1.513%25%38%50%
2.50%0%25%0%
3.50%0%13%0%
4.50%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVoghereseCastellanzese
HATHAT
Clean sheets303123
Failed to score213213

Penalties

MetricVoghereseCastellanzese
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricVoghereseCastellanzese
Wins12
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—3-20-8
Biggest losses0-12-10-12-1
Goals For1238
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricVoghereseCastellanzese
Form50%50%
Att22%78%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total45.8%54.3%

Advice: Double chance : Vogherese or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.49 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away2.67 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Superbet
No1.87 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vogherese = 0.35 (league 1.43), Castellanzese = 0.62 (league 1.20)

Castellanzese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vogherese 0 37.8% 23.5% 7.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.2% 8.2% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.5% · Draw 46.5% · Away win 36.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1