Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 13:30 •
Stadio Pietro Fortunati
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.42)
3.25 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.9% | 11.0% | 70.9% |
best score tips
0 - 3
8.9%
0 - 2
8.2%
1 - 3
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Villa Valle | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pavia | 0 | 1.6% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% |
| 1 | 1.4% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pavia | Villa Valle |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 53% |
| Attack | 36% | 43% |
| Defense | 29% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pavia | Villa Valle | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Wins | 0% | 20% | 11% | 60% | 33% | 50% |
| Draws | 25% | 20% | 22% | 20% | 33% | 25% |
| Loses | 75% | 60% | 67% | 20% | 33% | 25% |
Form: Pavia: LLWLLLLDD • Villa Valle: WLWDDWLW
League goals
| Metric | Pavia | Villa Valle | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 9 | 11 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GA avg | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pavia | Villa Valle | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 89% | 88% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 67% | 50% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 44% | 25% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pavia | Villa Valle | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pavia | Villa Valle |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pavia | Villa Valle |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-1 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pavia | Villa Valle |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 29% | 71% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 31.8% | 68.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Villa Valle
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Pavia = 0.92 (league 1.42), Villa Valle = 3.25 (league 1.20)
| Villa Valle | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pavia | 0 | 1.6% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% |
| 1 | 1.4% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.9% · Draw 11.0% · Away win 70.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1