Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 13:30 •
Stadio Comunale Giovanni Provasi
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.42)
1.62 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.9% | 24.6% | 46.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.6%
0 - 1
9.7%
1 - 2
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Varesina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Castellanzese | 0 | 6.0% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 7.2% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Castellanzese | Varesina |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 33% |
| Attack | 93% | 57% |
| Defense | 64% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Castellanzese | Varesina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 25% | 40% | 33% | 0% | 25% | 11% |
| Draws | 50% | 20% | 33% | 60% | 50% | 56% |
| Loses | 25% | 40% | 33% | 40% | 25% | 33% |
Form: Castellanzese: DDLDWWLLW • Varesina: LLWLDDDDD
League goals
| Metric | Castellanzese | Varesina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Castellanzese | Varesina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 56% | 89% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 44% | 56% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Castellanzese | Varesina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Castellanzese | Varesina |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Castellanzese | Varesina |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 0-8 | — | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 8 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Castellanzese | Varesina |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 49% | 51% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 45.3% | 54.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Castellanzese or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Castellanzese = 1.19 (league 1.42), Varesina = 1.62 (league 1.20)
| Varesina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Castellanzese | 0 | 6.0% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 7.2% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.9% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 46.7%
Vtot 2 , Vtod1