Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 13:30 • Campo Sportivo Comunale Villa D'Almè
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.43) 1.46 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.7% 24.1% 35.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
2 - 1
8.7%
1 - 2
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Chievo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Villa Valle 0 4.8% 7.0% 5.2% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
1 7.6% 11.1% 8.1% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.9% 8.7% 6.4% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.1% 4.5% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.8% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVilla ValleChievo
Played55
Form47%87%
Attack38%92%
Defense38%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Villa Valle Chievo
HATHAT
Played5495510
Wins60%25%44%80%60%70%
Draws20%25%22%20%20%20%
Loses20%50%33%0%20%10%

Form: Villa Valle: WLWDDWLWL • Chievo: WWLWDWWWWD

League goals

Metric Villa Valle Chievo
HATHAT
GF total8513111122
GF avg1.61.31.42.22.22.2
GA total48125712
GA avg0.82.01.31.01.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVilla ValleChievo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%78%100%70%
1.544%33%80%30%
2.522%11%30%20%
3.50%11%10%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVilla ValleChievo
HATHAT
Clean sheets202213
Failed to score022000

Penalties

MetricVilla ValleChievo
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricVilla ValleChievo
Wins14
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-34-11-3
Biggest losses1-24-0—3-2
Goals For3343
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricVilla ValleChievo
Form35%65%
Att29%71%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total39.8%60.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Chievo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Villa Valle = 1.57 (league 1.43), Chievo = 1.46 (league 1.20)

Chievo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Villa Valle 0 4.8% 7.0% 5.2% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
1 7.6% 11.1% 8.1% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.9% 8.7% 6.4% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.1% 4.5% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.8% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.7% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 35.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1