Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 13:30 • Campo Comunale
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.43) 2.99 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
6.7% 11.8% 73.2%
best score tips
0 - 2
10.2%
0 - 3
10.2%
1 - 2
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
USD Casatese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Varesina 0 2.3% 6.8% 10.2% 10.2% 7.6% 4.6%
1 1.8% 5.4% 8.0% 8.0% 6.0% 3.6%
2 0.7% 2.1% 3.2% 3.1% 2.4% 1.4%
3 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVaresinaUSD Casatese
Played55
Form27%73%
Attack62%85%
Defense31%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Varesina USD Casatese
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins0%20%10%40%40%40%
Draws60%40%50%40%60%50%
Loses40%40%40%20%0%10%

Form: Varesina: LLWLDDDDDL • USD Casatese: DLDDWWWDDW

League goals

Metric Varesina USD Casatese
HATHAT
GF total77148917
GF avg1.41.41.41.61.81.7
GA total107177411
GA avg2.01.41.71.40.81.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVaresinaUSD Casatese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%90%90%80%
1.550%70%40%20%
2.50%10%30%10%
3.50%0%10%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVaresinaUSD Casatese
HATHAT
Clean sheets011112
Failed to score101101

Penalties

MetricVaresinaUSD Casatese
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricVaresinaUSD Casatese
Wins13
Draws52
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-24-20-3
Biggest losses0-22-11-3—
Goals For2243
Goals Against3231

Model comparison

MetricVaresinaUSD Casatese
Form27%73%
Att42%58%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution25%75%
H2h50%50%
Goals53%47%
Total38.8%61.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or USD Casatese

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Varesina = 0.78 (league 1.43), USD Casatese = 2.99 (league 1.20)

USD Casatese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Varesina 0 2.3% 6.8% 10.2% 10.2% 7.6% 4.6%
1 1.8% 5.4% 8.0% 8.0% 6.0% 3.6%
2 0.7% 2.1% 3.2% 3.1% 2.4% 1.4%
3 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.7% · Draw 11.8% · Away win 73.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1