Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 13:30 •
Sportitalia Arena
Expected Goals
1.37 (league 1.43)
2.09 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 24.6% | 21.0% | 52.0% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.4%
1 - 1
9.0%
0 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Breno | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Folgore Caratese | 0 | 3.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 4.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Folgore Caratese | Breno |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 54% | 46% |
| Defense | 46% | 54% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Folgore Caratese | Breno | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 40% | 80% | 60% | 20% | 40% | 30% |
| Draws | 20% | 20% | 20% | 80% | 20% | 50% |
| Loses | 40% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 40% | 20% |
Form: Folgore Caratese: WWWWDWLDLW • Breno: DDDWDLWWDL
League goals
| Metric | Folgore Caratese | Breno | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 7 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 15 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 7 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Folgore Caratese | Breno | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 70% | 70% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 20% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 10% | 10% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Folgore Caratese | Breno | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Folgore Caratese | Breno |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Folgore Caratese | Breno |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 2-5 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | — | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Folgore Caratese | Breno |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 45% | 55% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 52.0% | 48.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Folgore Caratese or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Folgore Caratese = 1.37 (league 1.43), Breno = 2.09 (league 1.20)
| Breno | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Folgore Caratese | 0 | 3.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 4.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.6% · Draw 21.0% · Away win 52.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1