Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 13:30 • Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.41) 1.16 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.9% 31.4% 49.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
20.1%
0 - 0
17.3%
1 - 1
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Folgore Caratese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caldiero Terme 0 17.3% 20.1% 11.7% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.3% 11.9% 6.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 3.0% 3.5% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCaldiero TermeFolgore Caratese
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack71%100%
Defense43%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Caldiero Terme Folgore Caratese
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins40%17%27%50%80%64%
Draws40%67%55%17%20%18%
Loses20%17%18%33%0%18%

Form: Caldiero Terme: WDDDDLLWDWD • Folgore Caratese: WWWWDWLDLWW

League goals

Metric Caldiero Terme Folgore Caratese
HATHAT
GF total73109716
GF avg1.40.50.91.51.41.5
GA total5278311
GA avg1.00.30.61.30.61.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCaldiero TermeFolgore Caratese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%55%91%73%
1.527%9%55%18%
2.59%0%0%9%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCaldiero TermeFolgore Caratese
HATHAT
Clean sheets145123
Failed to score145101

Penalties

MetricCaldiero TermeFolgore Caratese
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricCaldiero TermeFolgore Caratese
Wins14
Draws41
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-11-2
Biggest losses0-21-02-3—
Goals For3222
Goals Against2131

Model comparison

MetricCaldiero TermeFolgore Caratese
Form53%47%
Att38%62%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total51.2%48.8%

Advice: Double chance : Caldiero Terme or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.72 @ Superbet
Draw3.15 @ Superbet
Away2.40 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.75 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Superbet
No1.96 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Caldiero Terme = 0.59 (league 1.41), Folgore Caratese = 1.16 (league 1.21)

Folgore Caratese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caldiero Terme 0 17.3% 20.1% 11.7% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.3% 11.9% 6.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 3.0% 3.5% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.9% · Draw 31.4% · Away win 49.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1