Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 13:30 • Leon Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.41) 0.93 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.3% 33.7% 36.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
17.9%
0 - 1
16.6%
1 - 0
14.2%
Score & goals probability table
Varesina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leon Monza e Brianza 0 17.9% 16.6% 7.7% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
1 14.2% 13.2% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.6% 5.2% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeon Monza e BrianzaVaresina
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack100%86%
Defense57%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leon Monza e Brianza Varesina
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins20%33%27%0%20%9%
Draws40%50%45%67%40%55%
Loses40%17%27%33%40%36%

Form: Leon Monza e Brianza: DDDDDLWWLLW • Varesina: LLWLDDDDDLD

League goals

Metric Leon Monza e Brianza Varesina
HATHAT
GF total49137714
GF avg0.81.51.21.21.41.3
GA total461010717
GA avg0.81.00.91.71.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeon Monza e BrianzaVaresina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%64%82%82%
1.545%27%45%64%
2.59%0%0%9%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeon Monza e BrianzaVaresina
HATHAT
Clean sheets224112
Failed to score224202

Penalties

MetricLeon Monza e BrianzaVaresina
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricLeon Monza e BrianzaVaresina
Wins21
Draws55
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-3—0-2
Biggest losses1-21-00-22-1
Goals For2322
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricLeon Monza e BrianzaVaresina
Form69%31%
Att54%46%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total61.3%38.8%

Advice: Double chance : Leon Monza e Brianza or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.60 @ 10Bet
Draw3.10 @ Betano
Away2.70 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.76 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ Superbet
No1.97 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leon Monza e Brianza = 0.79 (league 1.41), Varesina = 0.93 (league 1.21)

Varesina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leon Monza e Brianza 0 17.9% 16.6% 7.7% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
1 14.2% 13.2% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.6% 5.2% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.3% · Draw 33.7% · Away win 36.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1