Wed, Nov 26 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Felice Chinetti
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.24 (league 1.43) 2.33 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.2% 19.2% 38.8%
best score tips
2 - 2
7.1%
1 - 2
6.3%
2 - 1
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
Real Calepina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Milan II 0 1.0% 2.4% 2.8% 2.2% 1.3% 0.6%
1 2.3% 5.4% 6.3% 4.9% 2.8% 1.3%
2 2.6% 6.1% 7.1% 5.5% 3.2% 1.5%
3 1.9% 4.5% 5.3% 4.1% 2.4% 1.1%
4 1.1% 2.5% 3.0% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6%
5 0.5% 1.1% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMilan IIReal Calepina
Played55
Form40%20%
Attack54%46%
Defense38%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Milan II Real Calepina
HATHAT
Played57127512
Wins60%29%42%14%40%25%
Draws20%14%17%43%20%33%
Loses20%57%42%43%40%42%

Form: Milan II: WDWDWLLLWWLL • Real Calepina: LWDWWLLLDDDL

League goals

Metric Milan II Real Calepina
HATHAT
GF total1071791019
GF avg2.01.01.41.32.01.6
GA total791613821
GA avg1.41.31.31.91.61.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMilan IIReal Calepina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%83%83%83%
1.550%50%50%58%
2.525%0%25%33%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMilan IIReal Calepina
HATHAT
Clean sheets112022
Failed to score134112

Penalties

MetricMilan IIReal Calepina
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricMilan IIReal Calepina
Wins22
Draws13
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-33-10-3
Biggest losses0-22-10-32-0
Goals For3333
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricMilan IIReal Calepina
Form67%33%
Att54%46%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total57.5%42.5%

Advice: Double chance : Milan II or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ Betano
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away3.52 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ Unibet
No1.95 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Milan II = 2.24 (league 1.43), Real Calepina = 2.33 (league 1.20)

Real Calepina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Milan II 0 1.0% 2.4% 2.8% 2.2% 1.3% 0.6%
1 2.3% 5.4% 6.3% 4.9% 2.8% 1.3%
2 2.6% 6.1% 7.1% 5.5% 3.2% 1.5%
3 1.9% 4.5% 5.3% 4.1% 2.4% 1.1%
4 1.1% 2.5% 3.0% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6%
5 0.5% 1.1% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.2% · Draw 19.2% · Away win 38.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1