Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 17:30 • Stadio Pietro Fortunati
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.39) 1.18 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.0% 26.5% 32.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
1 - 0
10.6%
0 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Vogherese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pavia 0 7.7% 9.1% 5.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
1 10.6% 12.6% 7.5% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.3% 8.7% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.4% 4.0% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPaviaVogherese
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack100%38%
Defense25%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pavia Vogherese
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins20%17%18%33%0%18%
Draws20%33%27%17%60%36%
Loses60%50%55%50%40%45%

Form: Pavia: LLWLLLLDDWD • Vogherese: LDDLLWDWLDL

League goals

Metric Pavia Vogherese
HATHAT
GF total8513347
GF avg1.60.81.20.50.80.6
GA total911205611
GA avg1.81.81.80.81.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePaviaVogherese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%73%55%64%
1.527%55%9%27%
2.59%36%0%9%
3.59%9%0%0%
4.50%9%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPaviaVogherese
HATHAT
Clean sheets123314
Failed to score123325

Penalties

MetricPaviaVogherese
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricPaviaVogherese
Wins11
Draws22
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-11-0—
Biggest losses2-53-01-32-1
Goals For4212
Goals Against5332

Model comparison

MetricPaviaVogherese
Form55%45%
Att73%27%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h100%0%
Goals60%40%
Total58.4%41.6%

Advice: Double chance : Pavia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ 1xBet
Draw3.25 @ Superbet
Away3.35 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.77 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ Superbet
No1.95 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pavia = 1.38 (league 1.39), Vogherese = 1.18 (league 1.22)

Vogherese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pavia 0 7.7% 9.1% 5.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
1 10.6% 12.6% 7.5% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.3% 8.7% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.4% 4.0% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.0% · Draw 26.5% · Away win 32.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1