Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 13:30 •
Stadio Carlo Rossoni
Expected Goals
1.70 (league 1.41)
0.50 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 66.1% | 22.7% | 10.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
18.9%
2 - 0
16.0%
0 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Sondrio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 0 | 11.1% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.0% | 8.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.1% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | Sondrio |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 27% |
| Attack | 43% | 57% |
| Defense | 14% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
67%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | Sondrio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 40% | 0% | 18% | 17% | 0% | 9% |
| Draws | 20% | 67% | 45% | 0% | 20% | 9% |
| Loses | 40% | 33% | 36% | 83% | 80% | 82% |
Form: Virtus Ciserano Bergamo: DDWLDWDLDLL • Sondrio: LLLLLLLDLLW
League goals
| Metric | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | Sondrio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 10 | 26 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 2.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | Sondrio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 73% | 36% | 91% |
| 1.5 | 9% | 18% | 9% | 64% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 18% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | Sondrio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | Sondrio |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | Sondrio |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 7 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 1-0 | 0-8 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | Sondrio |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 81% | 19% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 45.0% | 55.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Sondrio
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Virtus Ciserano Bergamo = 1.70 (league 1.41), Sondrio = 0.50 (league 1.21)
| Sondrio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 0 | 11.1% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.0% | 8.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.1% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.1% · Draw 22.7% · Away win 10.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1