Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Coni Castellina
Match Finished
2 - 2
Expected Goals
0.32 (league 1.43) 3.81 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.0% 4.2% 76.1%
best score tips
0 - 3
14.9%
0 - 4
14.2%
0 - 2
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Breno
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sondrio 0 1.6% 6.1% 11.7% 14.9% 14.2% 10.8%
1 0.5% 1.9% 3.7% 4.7% 4.5% 3.4%
2 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSondrioBreno
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack56%44%
Defense0%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sondrio Breno
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins17%0%8%17%33%25%
Draws0%17%8%67%17%42%
Loses83%83%83%17%50%33%

Form: Sondrio: LLLLLLLDLLWL • Breno: DDDWDLWWDLLL

League goals

Metric Sondrio Breno
HATHAT
GF total24661016
GF avg0.30.70.51.01.71.3
GA total1612286915
GA avg2.72.02.31.01.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSondrioBreno
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.542%92%67%75%
1.58%67%42%50%
2.50%25%8%0%
3.50%17%8%0%
4.50%8%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSondrioBreno
HATHAT
Clean sheets101213
Failed to score437314

Penalties

MetricSondrioBreno
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricSondrioBreno
Wins12
Draws13
Losses71

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—2-12-5
Biggest losses0-83-00-12-1
Goals For1225
Goals Against8422

Model comparison

MetricSondrioBreno
Form50%50%
Att56%44%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution11%89%
H2h88%13%
Goals75%25%
Total53.3%46.8%

Advice: Double chance : Sondrio or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sondrio = 0.32 (league 1.43), Breno = 3.81 (league 1.20)

Breno
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sondrio 0 1.6% 6.1% 11.7% 14.9% 14.2% 10.8%
1 0.5% 1.9% 3.7% 4.7% 4.5% 3.4%
2 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.0% · Draw 4.2% · Away win 76.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1