Pavia vs Leon Monza e Brianza

Serie D - Girone B — Italy

Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Pietro Fortunati

Match Finished

Pavia

1 - 2

Leon Monza e Brianza

Expected Goals

0.91 (league 1.43) 1.87 (league 1.20)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
17.9%	22.2%	58.7%

best score tips

0 - 1

11.6%

0 - 2

10.8%

1 - 1

10.6%

Score & goals probability table

		Leon Monza e Brianza
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Pavia	0	6.2%	11.6%	10.8%	6.8%	3.2%	1.2%
	1	5.6%	10.6%	9.9%	6.2%	2.9%	1.1%
	2	2.6%	4.8%	4.5%	2.8%	1.3%	0.5%
	3	0.8%	1.5%	1.4%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%
	4	0.2%	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Pavia	Leon Monza e Brianza
Played	5	5
Form	47%	47%
Attack	78%	67%
Defense	67%	56%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	7 \| 1.4	6 \| 1.2
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	3 \| 0.6	4 \| 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%

FT probability

2.5+

51%

FT probability

3.5+

36%

FT probability

BTTS

64%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Pavia			Leon Monza e Brianza
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	6	6	12	6	6	12
Wins	17%	17%	17%	17%	33%	25%
Draws	33%	33%	33%	50%	50%	50%
Loses	50%	50%	50%	33%	17%	25%

Form: Pavia: LLWLLLLDDWDD • Leon Monza e Brianza: DDDDDLWWLLWD

League goals

Metric	Pavia			Leon Monza e Brianza
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	8	5	13	5	9	14
GF avg	1.3	0.8	1.1	0.8	1.5	1.2
GA total	9	11	20	5	6	11
GA avg	1.5	1.8	1.7	0.8	1.0	0.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Pavia		Leon Monza e Brianza
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	67%	67%	67%	67%
1.5	25%	50%	42%	25%
2.5	8%	33%	8%	0%
3.5	8%	8%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	8%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Pavia			Leon Monza e Brianza
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	2	2	4	2	2	4
Failed to score	2	2	4	2	2	4

Penalties

Metric	Pavia	Leon Monza e Brianza
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Pavia	Leon Monza e Brianza
Wins	1	2
Draws	2	5
Losses	4	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	4-0	0-1	2-0	1-3
Biggest losses	2-5	3-0	1-2	1-0
Goals For	4	2	2	3
Goals Against	5	3	2	2

Model comparison

Metric	Pavia	Leon Monza e Brianza
Form	50%	50%
Att	54%	46%
Def	57%	43%
Poisson Distribution	39%	61%
H2h	0%	0%
Goals	0%	0%
Total	50.0%	50.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Leon Monza e Brianza

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.37 @ Betano

Draw3.20 @ Betano

Away2.67 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.01 @ Marathonbet

Under 2.51.70 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ Marathonbet

No1.90 @ 1xBet

Bookmaker: Select to view full market tables.

Marathonbet Updated: 2025-11-23T08:00:53+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.36
Draw	3.18
Away	2.67

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.74
Draw	2.32
Away	3.05

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1.25	4.60
Away -1.25	1.13
Home -1	4.05
Away -1	1.16
Home -0.75	2.88
Away -0.75	1.32
Home -0.25	2.02
Away -0.25	1.64
Home +0	1.74
Away +0	1.95
Home +0.25	1.50
Away +0.25	2.28
Home +0.75	1.25
Away +0.75	3.28
Home -2	9.30
Away -2	1.00
Home +1	1.11
Away +1	4.90
Home -1.5	5.10
Away -1.5	1.10
Home +1.5	1.07
Away +1.5	5.95

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.29
Under 1.5	3.04
Over 1.75	1.37
Under 1.75	2.66
Over 2.0	1.49
Under 2.0	2.30
Over 2.25	1.74
Under 2.25	1.89
Over 2.5	2.01
Under 2.5	1.70
Over 2.75	2.28
Under 2.75	1.50
Over 3.5	3.58
Under 3.5	1.21
Over 1.0	1.03
Under 1.0	7.60
Over 1.25	1.16
Under 1.25	4.15
Over 3.0	2.88
Under 3.0	1.32
Over 3.25	3.20
Under 3.25	1.26
Over 4.0	6.50
Under 4.0	1.05

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.92
Under 1.5	1.32
Over 0.5	1.39
Under 0.5	2.63
Over 1.0	1.94
Under 1.0	1.75

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.22
Under 1.5	1.57
Over 2.0	3.94
Under 2.0	1.18
Over 1.0	1.47
Under 1.0	2.39

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.77
No	1.87

Bet ID 9 — Handicap Result

Selection	Odds
Home -1	5.10
Away -1	1.46
Draw -1	4.00
Home +1	1.36
Draw +1	4.30
Away +1	5.95

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.36
Home/Away	1.26
Draw/Away	1.46

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	3.02
Draw	2.01
Away	3.40

Bet ID 14 — Team To Score First

Selection	Odds
Home	1.90
Draw	9.20
Away	2.05

Bet ID 15 — Team To Score Last

Selection	Odds
Home	1.91
Draw	9.20
Away	2.04

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.43
Under 1.5	1.47
Over 1	1.60
Under 1	2.17
Over 2	4.70
Under 2	1.12

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.64
Under 1.5	1.40
Over 1	1.74
Under 1	1.95
Over 2	5.50
Under 2	1.08

1xBet Updated: 2025-11-23T08:00:53+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.36
Draw	3.18
Away	2.67

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.74
Draw	2.32
Away	3.05

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1.25	4.60
Away -1.25	1.13
Home -1	4.05
Away -1	1.16
Home -0.75	2.88
Away -0.75	1.32
Home -0.25	2.02
Away -0.25	1.64
Home +0	1.74
Away +0	1.95
Home +0.25	1.50
Away +0.25	2.28
Home +0.75	1.25
Away +0.75	3.28
Home -2	9.30
Away -2	1.00
Home +1	1.11
Away +1	4.90
Home -1.5	5.10
Away -1.5	1.10
Home +1.5	1.07
Away +1.5	5.95
Home -2.5	10.00
Away -2.5	1.02

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.29
Under 1.5	3.04
Over 1.75	1.37
Under 1.75	2.66
Over 2.0	1.49
Under 2.0	2.30
Over 2.25	1.74
Under 2.25	1.89
Over 2.5	2.01
Under 2.5	1.70
Over 2.75	2.28
Under 2.75	1.50
Over 3.5	3.58
Under 3.5	1.21
Over 1.0	1.03
Under 1.0	7.60
Over 1.25	1.16
Under 1.25	4.15
Over 3.0	2.88
Under 3.0	1.32
Over 4.5	6.50
Under 4.5	1.08
Over 3.25	3.20
Under 3.25	1.26
Over 4.0	6.50
Under 4.0	1.05
Over 5.5	10.00
Under 5.5	1.02

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.92
Under 1.5	1.32
Over 2.5	7.30
Under 2.5	1.06
Over 0.5	1.39
Under 0.5	2.63
Over 0.75	1.56
Under 0.75	2.21
Over 1.0	1.94
Under 1.0	1.75
Over 1.25	2.45
Under 1.25	1.46

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.22
Under 1.5	1.57
Over 1.75	2.71
Under 1.75	1.38
Over 2.0	3.94
Under 2.0	1.18
Over 2.5	4.80
Under 2.5	1.15
Over 0.5	1.25
Under 0.5	3.60
Over 1.0	1.47
Under 1.0	2.39
Over 1.25	1.85
Under 1.25	1.81

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	16.00
Home/Away	29.00
Draw/Away	6.50
Draw/Draw	4.50
Home/Home	4.00
Draw/Home	6.00
Away/Home	27.00
Away/Draw	16.00
Away/Away	4.50

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.77
No	1.90

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	4.90
2:0	7.20
2:1	6.00
3:0	16.00
3:1	13.00
3:2	22.00
4:0	45.00
4:1	40.00
0:0	6.00
1:1	4.10
2:2	9.60
0:1	5.20
0:2	8.40
0:3	20.00
1:2	6.60
1:3	16.00
2:3	24.00
3:3	50.00
0:4	70.00
1:4	50.00
2:4	80.00
4:2	70.00
0:5	100.00
0:6	100.00
1:5	100.00
1:6	100.00
2:5	100.00
2:6	100.00
3:4	100.00
5:0	100.00
5:1	100.00
5:2	100.00
6:0	100.00
6:1	100.00
6:2	100.00
4:3	100.00
3:5	100.00
3:6	100.00
4:5	100.00
4:6	100.00
5:3	100.00
5:4	100.00
5:6	100.00
6:3	100.00
6:4	100.00
6:5	100.00
4:4	100.00
7:0	100.00
7:1	100.00
7:2	100.00
7:3	100.00
7:4	100.00
7:5	100.00
7:6	100.00
8:0	100.00
8:1	100.00
8:2	100.00
8:3	100.00
8:4	100.00
8:5	100.00
8:6	100.00
8:7	100.00
9:0	100.00
9:1	100.00
9:2	100.00
9:3	100.00
9:4	100.00
9:5	100.00
9:6	100.00
9:7	100.00
9:8	100.00
10:0	100.00
10:1	100.00
10:2	100.00
10:3	100.00
10:4	100.00
10:5	100.00
10:6	100.00
10:7	100.00
10:8	100.00
10:9	100.00
5:5	100.00
6:6	100.00
7:7	100.00
8:8	100.00
9:9	100.00
10:10	100.00
0:7	100.00
0:8	100.00
0:9	100.00
0:10	100.00
1:7	100.00
1:8	100.00
1:9	100.00
1:10	100.00
2:7	100.00
2:8	100.00
2:9	100.00
2:10	100.00
3:7	100.00
3:8	100.00
3:9	100.00
3:10	100.00
4:7	100.00
4:8	100.00
4:9	100.00
4:10	100.00
5:7	100.00
5:8	100.00
5:9	100.00
5:10	100.00
6:7	100.00
6:8	100.00
6:9	100.00
6:10	100.00
7:8	100.00
7:9	100.00
7:10	100.00
8:9	100.00
8:10	100.00
9:10	100.00

Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half

Selection	Odds
Draw	3.32
1st Half	3.02
2nd Half	2.04

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.36
Home/Away	1.26
Draw/Away	1.46

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	3.02
Draw	2.01
Away	3.40

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.43
Under 1.5	1.47
Over 2.5	5.60
Under 2.5	1.11
Over 1	1.60
Under 1	2.17
Over 2	4.70
Under 2	1.12
Over 0.5	1.26
Under 0.5	3.28

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.64
Under 1.5	1.40
Over 2.5	6.40
Under 2.5	1.08
Over 1	1.74
Under 1	1.95
Over 2	5.50
Under 2	1.08
Over 0.5	1.31
Under 0.5	2.97

Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half

Selection	Odds
Home -1	8.70
Away -1	1.01
Home -0.25	2.39
Away -0.25	1.47
Home +0	1.74
Away +0	1.91
Home +0.25	1.39
Away +0.25	2.63

Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.21
Home/Away	1.60
Draw/Away	1.27

Bet ID 33 — Double Chance - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.26
Home/Away	1.45
Draw/Away	1.32

Bet ID 34 — Both Teams Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
Yes	4.65
No	1.14

Bet ID 35 — Both Teams To Score - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Yes	3.42
No	1.25

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.83
Even	1.81

Bet ID 22 — Odd/Even - First Half

Selection	Odds
Odd	2.03
Even	1.65

Bet ID 23 — Home Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.95
Even	1.71

Bet ID 60 — Away Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.97
Even	1.69

Bet ID 104 — Asian Handicap (2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Home -1	6.55
Away -1	1.05
Home -0.25	2.25
Away -0.25	1.53
Home +0	1.74
Away +0	1.91
Home +0.25	1.44
Away +0.25	2.47

Bet ID 105 — Home Team Total Goals(1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	2.06
Under 0.5	1.63

Bet ID 106 — Away Team Total Goals(1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	2.18
Under 0.5	1.56

Bet ID 107 — Home Team Total Goals(2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.76
Under 0.5	1.88

Bet ID 108 — Away Team Total Goals(2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.84
Under 0.5	1.80

Bet ID 63 — Odd/Even - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.93
Even	1.72

Betano Updated: 2025-11-23T08:00:53+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.37
Draw	3.20
Away	2.67

Bet ID 2 — Home/Away

Selection	Odds
Home	1.70
Away	1.91

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.67
Draw	2.37
Away	3.00

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 2.25	1.75
Under 2.25	1.90
Over 2.5	1.95
Under 2.5	1.67

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.40
Under 0.5	2.40
Over 1.0	1.90
Under 1.0	1.67

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	14.00
Home/Away	32.00
Draw/Away	6.00
Draw/Draw	4.75
Home/Home	3.90
Draw/Home	5.50
Away/Home	29.00
Away/Draw	13.50
Away/Away	4.45

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	6.00
2:0	8.50
2:1	7.20
3:0	17.00
3:1	14.50
3:2	21.00
4:0	40.00
4:1	35.00
0:0	9.00
1:1	5.10
2:2	10.50
0:1	6.50
0:2	9.75
0:3	20.00
1:2	7.70
1:3	16.00
2:3	22.00
3:3	45.00
0:4	55.00
1:4	40.00
2:4	60.00
4:2	55.00
0:5	175.00
1:5	120.00
2:5	175.00
3:4	110.00
5:0	120.00
5:1	110.00
5:2	150.00
6:0	450.00
6:1	350.00
4:3	110.00
3:5	350.00
5:3	350.00
4:4	300.00

Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half

Selection	Odds
Draw	3.15
1st Half	3.05
2nd Half	1.98

Bet ID 31 — Correct Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
1:0	3.30
2:0	8.25
2:1	13.50
3:0	28.00
3:1	45.00
3:2	120.00
4:0	120.00
4:1	200.00
0:0	2.40
1:1	5.20
2:2	35.00
0:1	3.50
0:2	9.25
0:3	32.00
1:2	14.00
1:3	50.00
2:3	120.00
0:4	150.00
1:4	200.00

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.38
Home/Away	1.29
Draw/Away	1.47

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	3.00
Draw	2.02
Away	3.30

Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.28
Home/Away	1.62
Draw/Away	1.33

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.83
Even	1.80

Bet ID 109 — Draw No Bet (1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Home	1.72
Away	1.85

Bet ID 182 — Draw No Bet (2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Home	1.70
Away	1.88

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Pavia vs Leon Monza e Brianza

Expected goals (λ): Pavia = 0.91 (league 1.43), Leon Monza e Brianza = 1.87 (league 1.20)

		Leon Monza e Brianza
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Pavia	0	6.2%	11.6%	10.8%	6.8%	3.2%	1.2%
	1	5.6%	10.6%	9.9%	6.2%	2.9%	1.1%
	2	2.6%	4.8%	4.5%	2.8%	1.3%	0.5%
	3	0.8%	1.5%	1.4%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%
	4	0.2%	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.9% · Draw 22.2% · Away win 58.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1

Metric	Pavia	Leon Monza e Brianza
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0