Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale Giovanni Provasi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.60 (league 1.39) 1.23 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.1% 30.2% 51.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.7%
0 - 0
15.9%
0 - 2
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
USD Casatese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castellanzese 0 15.9% 19.7% 12.1% 5.0% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.6% 11.9% 7.3% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 2.9% 3.6% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCastellanzeseUSD Casatese
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack33%89%
Defense78%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Castellanzese USD Casatese
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins33%33%33%50%33%42%
Draws50%33%42%33%67%50%
Loses17%33%25%17%0%8%

Form: Castellanzese: DDLDWWLLWWDD • USD Casatese: DLDDWWWDDWDW

League goals

Metric Castellanzese USD Casatese
HATHAT
GF total7111810919
GF avg1.21.81.51.71.51.6
GA total64107411
GA avg1.00.70.81.20.70.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCastellanzeseUSD Casatese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%50%83%67%
1.533%33%42%17%
2.517%0%25%8%
3.58%0%8%0%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCastellanzeseUSD Casatese
HATHAT
Clean sheets246224
Failed to score325112

Penalties

MetricCastellanzeseUSD Casatese
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricCastellanzeseUSD Casatese
Wins23
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-84-20-3
Biggest losses0-12-11-3—
Goals For3843
Goals Against2231

Model comparison

MetricCastellanzeseUSD Casatese
Form47%53%
Att27%73%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total46.2%53.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or USD Casatese and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.97 @ 1xBet
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away2.21 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Marathonbet
No1.87 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Castellanzese = 0.60 (league 1.39), USD Casatese = 1.23 (league 1.22)

USD Casatese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castellanzese 0 15.9% 19.7% 12.1% 5.0% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.6% 11.9% 7.3% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 2.9% 3.6% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.1% · Draw 30.2% · Away win 51.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1