Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Carlo Rossoni
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.82 (league 1.43) 0.83 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.7% 22.5% 16.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.8%
2 - 0
11.7%
1 - 1
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Villa Valle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 0 7.0% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.8% 10.7% 4.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.7% 9.7% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.1% 5.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.2% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVirtus Ciserano BergamoVilla Valle
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack45%27%
Defense55%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Virtus Ciserano Bergamo Villa Valle
HATHAT
Played67137512
Wins50%14%31%57%20%42%
Draws17%57%38%14%20%17%
Loses33%29%31%29%60%42%

Form: Virtus Ciserano Bergamo: DDWLDWDLDLLWW • Villa Valle: WLWDDWLWLLLW

League goals

Metric Virtus Ciserano Bergamo Villa Valle
HATHAT
GF total841210515
GF avg1.30.60.91.41.01.3
GA total651171017
GA avg1.00.70.81.02.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVirtus Ciserano BergamoVilla Valle
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%69%67%83%
1.515%15%42%42%
2.50%0%17%8%
3.50%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVirtus Ciserano BergamoVilla Valle
HATHAT
Clean sheets224202
Failed to score033134

Penalties

MetricVirtus Ciserano BergamoVilla Valle
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricVirtus Ciserano BergamoVilla Valle
Wins11
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-13-01-3
Biggest losses1-21-00-24-0
Goals For2133
Goals Against2124

Model comparison

MetricVirtus Ciserano BergamoVilla Valle
Form54%46%
Att63%38%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h71%29%
Goals60%40%
Total64.3%35.8%

Advice: Double chance : Virtus Ciserano Bergamo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.62 @ Betano
Draw3.45 @ Betano
Away2.29 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.72 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.98 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ Marathonbet
No2.19 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Virtus Ciserano Bergamo = 1.82 (league 1.43), Villa Valle = 0.83 (league 1.20)

Villa Valle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 0 7.0% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.8% 10.7% 4.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.7% 9.7% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.1% 5.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.2% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.7% · Draw 22.5% · Away win 16.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1