Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 13:30 • Leon Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.40 (league 1.41) 1.19 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.3% 31.2% 56.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
24.3%
0 - 0
20.4%
0 - 2
14.5%
Score & goals probability table
Castellanzese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leon Monza e Brianza 0 20.4% 24.3% 14.5% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4%
1 8.1% 9.6% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
2 1.6% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeon Monza e BrianzaCastellanzese
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack55%36%
Defense55%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leon Monza e Brianza Castellanzese
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins17%43%31%29%33%31%
Draws50%43%46%43%33%38%
Loses33%14%23%29%33%31%

Form: Leon Monza e Brianza: DDDDDLWWLLWDW • Castellanzese: DDLDWWLLWWDDL

League goals

Metric Leon Monza e Brianza Castellanzese
HATHAT
GF total5111681119
GF avg0.81.61.21.11.81.5
GA total57128412
GA avg0.81.00.91.10.70.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeon Monza e BrianzaCastellanzese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%69%62%54%
1.546%23%31%38%
2.58%0%15%0%
3.50%0%8%0%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeon Monza e BrianzaCastellanzese
HATHAT
Clean sheets224246
Failed to score224325

Penalties

MetricLeon Monza e BrianzaCastellanzese
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricLeon Monza e BrianzaCastellanzese
Wins22
Draws52
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-33-20-8
Biggest losses1-21-01-22-1
Goals For2338
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricLeon Monza e BrianzaCastellanzese
Form47%53%
Att60%40%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution28%72%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total45.5%54.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Castellanzese and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.29 @ 1xBet
Draw3.16 @ Marathonbet
Away2.90 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ Betano
Under 2.51.80 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ Marathonbet
No2.00 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leon Monza e Brianza = 0.40 (league 1.41), Castellanzese = 1.19 (league 1.21)

Castellanzese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leon Monza e Brianza 0 20.4% 24.3% 14.5% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4%
1 8.1% 9.6% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
2 1.6% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.3% · Draw 31.2% · Away win 56.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1