Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 13:30 • Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.17 (league 1.38) 0.70 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.0% 18.1% 10.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.4%
1 - 0
12.3%
3 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Sondrio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caldiero Terme 0 5.7% 4.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.3% 8.6% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.4% 9.3% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.7% 6.8% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.3% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCaldiero TermeSondrio
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack55%55%
Defense64%9%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Caldiero Terme Sondrio
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins33%29%31%14%0%8%
Draws50%57%54%14%17%15%
Loses17%14%15%71%83%77%

Form: Caldiero Terme: WDDDDLLWDWDDW • Sondrio: LLLLLLLDLLWLD

League goals

Metric Caldiero Terme Sondrio
HATHAT
GF total9413448
GF avg1.50.61.00.60.70.6
GA total729181230
GA avg1.20.30.72.62.02.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCaldiero TermeSondrio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%54%46%92%
1.531%15%15%69%
2.58%0%0%23%
3.50%0%0%15%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCaldiero TermeSondrio
HATHAT
Clean sheets156101
Failed to score145437

Penalties

MetricCaldiero TermeSondrio
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricCaldiero TermeSondrio
Wins11
Draws41
Losses27

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-21-0—
Biggest losses0-21-00-83-0
Goals For3222
Goals Against2184

Model comparison

MetricCaldiero TermeSondrio
Form69%31%
Att50%50%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total67.8%32.3%

Advice: Double chance : Caldiero Terme or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.67 @ 1xBet
Draw3.60 @ 1xBet
Away4.95 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.80 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ 1xBet
No1.82 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Caldiero Terme = 2.17 (league 1.38), Sondrio = 0.70 (league 1.21)

Sondrio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caldiero Terme 0 5.7% 4.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.3% 8.6% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.4% 9.3% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.7% 6.8% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.3% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.0% · Draw 18.1% · Away win 10.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1