Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 13:30 • Sinergy Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.41) 1.40 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.9% 23.8% 32.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.9%
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 0
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Varesina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chievo 0 4.7% 6.6% 4.6% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
1 7.8% 10.9% 7.7% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.4% 9.0% 6.3% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.6% 5.0% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.5% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChievoVaresina
Played55
Form67%20%
Attack73%36%
Defense45%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chievo Varesina
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins67%71%69%0%17%8%
Draws17%14%15%57%50%54%
Loses17%14%15%43%33%38%

Form: Chievo: WWLWDWWWWDWLW • Varesina: LLWLDDDDDLDDL

League goals

Metric Chievo Varesina
HATHAT
GF total1114257815
GF avg1.82.01.91.01.31.2
GA total871511819
GA avg1.31.01.21.61.31.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChievoVaresina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%62%77%85%
1.569%31%38%54%
2.523%23%0%8%
3.58%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChievoVaresina
HATHAT
Clean sheets235112
Failed to score101303

Penalties

MetricChievoVaresina
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricChievoVaresina
Wins41
Draws15
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-3—0-2
Biggest losses0-33-20-22-1
Goals For4322
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricChievoVaresina
Form77%23%
Att67%33%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h50%50%
Goals42%58%
Total57.7%42.3%

Advice: Double chance : Chievo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ Marathonbet
Draw4.00 @ Unibet
Away5.00 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ 1xBet
No2.08 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.91 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chievo = 1.65 (league 1.41), Varesina = 1.40 (league 1.21)

Varesina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chievo 0 4.7% 6.6% 4.6% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
1 7.8% 10.9% 7.7% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.4% 9.0% 6.3% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.6% 5.0% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.5% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.9% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 32.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1