Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Coni Castellina
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.43) 3.67 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.6% 7.4% 72.4%
best score tips
0 - 3
10.3%
0 - 4
9.4%
0 - 2
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Oltrepò
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sondrio 0 1.2% 4.6% 8.4% 10.3% 9.4% 6.9%
1 0.9% 3.3% 6.0% 7.3% 6.7% 4.9%
2 0.3% 1.2% 2.1% 2.6% 2.4% 1.8%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSondrioOltrepò
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack62%38%
Defense31%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sondrio Oltrepò
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins14%14%14%14%57%36%
Draws14%14%14%43%14%29%
Loses71%71%71%43%29%36%

Form: Sondrio: LLLLLLLDLLWLDW • Oltrepò: WWLDLWDLDLDWWL

League goals

Metric Sondrio Oltrepò
HATHAT
GF total461031215
GF avg0.60.90.70.41.71.1
GA total18133171219
GA avg2.61.92.21.01.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSondrioOltrepò
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%93%71%71%
1.521%64%29%43%
2.50%21%7%14%
3.50%14%0%7%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSondrioOltrepò
HATHAT
Clean sheets101314
Failed to score437404

Penalties

MetricSondrioOltrepò
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricSondrioOltrepò
Wins12
Draws11
Losses71

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-21-02-3
Biggest losses0-83-01-34-1
Goals For2213
Goals Against8434

Model comparison

MetricSondrioOltrepò
Form50%50%
Att62%38%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution19%81%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total42.8%57.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Oltrepò

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.87 @ 1xBet
Draw3.26 @ Marathonbet
Away2.27 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.82 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Marathonbet
No2.02 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sondrio = 0.71 (league 1.43), Oltrepò = 3.67 (league 1.20)

Oltrepò
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sondrio 0 1.2% 4.6% 8.4% 10.3% 9.4% 6.9%
1 0.9% 3.3% 6.0% 7.3% 6.7% 4.9%
2 0.3% 1.2% 2.1% 2.6% 2.4% 1.8%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.6% · Draw 7.4% · Away win 72.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1