Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 13:30 •
Campo Comunale
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.43)
1.33 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 25.6% | 28.0% | 46.1% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.1%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Milan II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Varesina | 0 | 10.6% | 14.1% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.7% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Varesina | Milan II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 47% |
| Attack | 31% | 38% |
| Defense | 62% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Varesina | Milan II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 0% | 29% | 14% | 57% | 29% | 43% |
| Draws | 57% | 43% | 50% | 29% | 14% | 21% |
| Loses | 43% | 29% | 36% | 14% | 57% | 36% |
Form: Varesina: LLWLDDDDDLDDLW • Milan II: WDWDWLLLWWLLWD
League goals
| Metric | Varesina | Milan II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 10 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 11 | 9 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Varesina | Milan II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 86% | 71% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 50% | 43% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 7% | 21% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Varesina | Milan II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Varesina | Milan II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Varesina | Milan II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-2 | 3-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Varesina | Milan II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 48.4% | 51.6% |
Advice: Double chance : Varesina or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Varesina = 0.91 (league 1.43), Milan II = 1.33 (league 1.20)
| Milan II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Varesina | 0 | 10.6% | 14.1% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.7% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.6% · Draw 28.0% · Away win 46.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1