Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 13:30 • Campo Comunale
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.41) 1.33 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.9% 28.0% 45.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.0%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Milan II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Varesina 0 10.6% 14.0% 9.3% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4%
1 9.7% 12.9% 8.6% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3%
2 4.5% 5.9% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.4% 1.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVaresinaMilan II
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack31%38%
Defense62%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Varesina Milan II
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins0%29%14%57%29%43%
Draws57%43%50%29%14%21%
Loses43%29%36%14%57%36%

Form: Varesina: LLWLDDDDDLDDLW • Milan II: WDWDWLLLWWLLWD

League goals

Metric Varesina Milan II
HATHAT
GF total7101712719
GF avg1.01.41.21.71.01.4
GA total119208917
GA avg1.61.31.41.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVaresinaMilan II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%86%71%79%
1.543%50%43%43%
2.50%7%21%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVaresinaMilan II
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score303134

Penalties

MetricVaresinaMilan II
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricVaresinaMilan II
Wins12
Draws51
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-23-02-3
Biggest losses0-22-10-22-1
Goals For2233
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricVaresinaMilan II
Form42%58%
Att44%56%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h100%0%
Goals60%40%
Total48.4%51.6%

Advice: Double chance : Varesina or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.57 @ Betano
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.60 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ William Hill
No2.00 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Varesina = 0.92 (league 1.41), Milan II = 1.33 (league 1.21)

Milan II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Varesina 0 10.6% 14.0% 9.3% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4%
1 9.7% 12.9% 8.6% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3%
2 4.5% 5.9% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.4% 1.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.9% · Draw 28.0% · Away win 45.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1