Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale Giovanni Provasi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.39) 1.81 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.9% 22.5% 60.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.5%
0 - 2
12.2%
1 - 1
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Chievo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castellanzese 0 7.4% 13.5% 12.2% 7.3% 3.3% 1.2%
1 5.9% 10.6% 9.6% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9%
2 2.3% 4.2% 3.8% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4%
3 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCastellanzeseChievo
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack38%54%
Defense62%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Castellanzese Chievo
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins29%29%29%57%71%64%
Draws43%43%43%14%14%14%
Loses29%29%29%29%14%21%

Form: Castellanzese: DDLDWWLLWWDDLD • Chievo: WWLWDWWWWDWLWL

League goals

Metric Castellanzese Chievo
HATHAT
GF total81321121426
GF avg1.11.91.51.72.01.9
GA total861410717
GA avg1.10.91.01.41.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCastellanzeseChievo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%57%93%64%
1.536%43%64%36%
2.514%0%21%21%
3.57%0%7%0%
4.57%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCastellanzeseChievo
HATHAT
Clean sheets246235
Failed to score325101

Penalties

MetricCastellanzeseChievo
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricCastellanzeseChievo
Wins24
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-84-11-3
Biggest losses1-22-10-33-2
Goals For3843
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricCastellanzeseChievo
Form46%54%
Att42%58%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h20%80%
Goals40%60%
Total40.8%59.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Chievo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.15 @ Betano
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away2.27 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.11 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.90 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Marathonbet
No1.95 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Castellanzese = 0.79 (league 1.39), Chievo = 1.81 (league 1.22)

Chievo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castellanzese 0 7.4% 13.5% 12.2% 7.3% 3.3% 1.2%
1 5.9% 10.6% 9.6% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9%
2 2.3% 4.2% 3.8% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4%
3 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.9% · Draw 22.5% · Away win 60.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1