Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Felice Chinetti
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.08 (league 1.41) 1.73 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.6% 23.7% 51.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.2%
0 - 1
10.4%
1 - 2
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Castellanzese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Milan II 0 6.0% 10.4% 9.0% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8%
1 6.5% 11.2% 9.7% 5.6% 2.4% 0.8%
2 3.5% 6.1% 5.3% 3.0% 1.3% 0.5%
3 1.3% 2.2% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMilan IICastellanzese
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack50%40%
Defense50%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Milan II Castellanzese
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins57%38%47%38%29%33%
Draws29%13%20%38%43%40%
Loses14%50%33%25%29%27%

Form: Milan II: WDWDWLLLWWLLWDW • Castellanzese: DDLDWWLLWWDDLDW

League goals

Metric Milan II Castellanzese
HATHAT
GF total1292191322
GF avg1.71.11.41.11.91.5
GA total810188614
GA avg1.11.31.21.00.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMilan IICastellanzese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%80%67%53%
1.547%40%33%40%
2.520%0%13%0%
3.50%0%7%0%
4.50%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMilan IICastellanzese
HATHAT
Clean sheets213347
Failed to score134325

Penalties

MetricMilan IICastellanzese
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricMilan IICastellanzese
Wins22
Draws12
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-33-20-8
Biggest losses0-22-11-22-1
Goals For3338
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricMilan IICastellanzese
Form54%46%
Att56%44%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total49.0%51.0%

Advice: No predictions available

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ William Hill
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away3.60 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.80 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Superbet
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Milan II = 1.08 (league 1.41), Castellanzese = 1.73 (league 1.21)

Castellanzese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Milan II 0 6.0% 10.4% 9.0% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8%
1 6.5% 11.2% 9.7% 5.6% 2.4% 0.8%
2 3.5% 6.1% 5.3% 3.0% 1.3% 0.5%
3 1.3% 2.2% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.6% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 51.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1