Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Carlo Rossoni
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.87 (league 1.39) 0.67 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.8% 21.4% 12.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.8%
2 - 0
13.8%
1 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Pavia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 0 8.0% 5.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.8% 9.9% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.8% 9.2% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.6% 5.7% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVirtus Ciserano BergamoPavia
Played55
Form80%20%
Attack50%50%
Defense80%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Virtus Ciserano Bergamo Pavia
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins57%25%40%13%14%13%
Draws14%50%33%38%29%33%
Loses29%25%27%50%57%53%

Form: Virtus Ciserano Bergamo: DDWLDWDLDLLWWWW • Pavia: LLWLLLLDDWDDLLD

League goals

Metric Virtus Ciserano Bergamo Pavia
HATHAT
GF total951412618
GF avg1.30.60.91.50.91.2
GA total6511141428
GA avg0.90.60.71.82.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVirtus Ciserano BergamoPavia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%60%73%73%
1.513%13%27%60%
2.50%0%13%40%
3.50%0%7%7%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVirtus Ciserano BergamoPavia
HATHAT
Clean sheets336224
Failed to score033224

Penalties

MetricVirtus Ciserano BergamoPavia
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricVirtus Ciserano BergamoPavia
Wins11
Draws22
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-14-00-1
Biggest losses1-21-02-53-0
Goals For2142
Goals Against2153

Model comparison

MetricVirtus Ciserano BergamoPavia
Form80%20%
Att50%50%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total72.3%27.8%

Advice: Double chance : Virtus Ciserano Bergamo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.22 @ 1xBet
Draw3.25 @ Marathonbet
Away3.00 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.90 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ Superbet
No2.10 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Virtus Ciserano Bergamo = 1.87 (league 1.39), Pavia = 0.67 (league 1.22)

Pavia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 0 8.0% 5.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.8% 9.9% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.8% 9.2% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.6% 5.7% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.8% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 12.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1