Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 13:30 • Campo Sportivo Comunale Libico
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.41) 1.34 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.1% 25.1% 34.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
1 - 0
8.8%
2 - 1
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
Sondrio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Calepina 0 5.9% 8.0% 5.4% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
1 8.8% 11.8% 7.9% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.5% 8.7% 5.9% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.2% 4.3% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal CalepinaSondrio
Played55
Form7%53%
Attack30%70%
Defense30%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Calepina Sondrio
HATHAT
Played87158715
Wins13%29%20%13%14%13%
Draws38%14%27%25%14%20%
Loses50%57%53%63%71%67%

Form: Real Calepina: LWDWWLLLDDDLLLL • Sondrio: LLLLLLLDLLWLDWD

League goals

Metric Real Calepina Sondrio
HATHAT
GF total911205611
GF avg1.11.61.30.60.90.7
GA total141125191332
GA avg1.81.61.72.41.92.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal CalepinaSondrio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%87%53%93%
1.540%53%20%60%
2.520%27%0%20%
3.50%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal CalepinaSondrio
HATHAT
Clean sheets022101
Failed to score224437

Penalties

MetricReal CalepinaSondrio
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricReal CalepinaSondrio
Wins21
Draws31
Losses37

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-31-01-2
Biggest losses0-32-00-83-0
Goals For3322
Goals Against3384

Model comparison

MetricReal CalepinaSondrio
Form11%89%
Att30%70%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total36.8%63.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sondrio

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ William Hill
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away3.37 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ William Hill
No1.90 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real Calepina = 1.48 (league 1.41), Sondrio = 1.34 (league 1.21)

Sondrio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Calepina 0 5.9% 8.0% 5.4% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
1 8.8% 11.8% 7.9% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.5% 8.7% 5.9% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.2% 4.3% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.1% · Draw 25.1% · Away win 34.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1