Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Pietro Fortunati
Match Finished
0 - 2
Expected Goals
1.08 (league 1.39) 2.66 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.9% 15.9% 65.7%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.1%
0 - 2
8.4%
1 - 3
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Chievo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pavia 0 2.4% 6.3% 8.4% 7.5% 5.0% 2.7%
1 2.6% 6.8% 9.1% 8.1% 5.4% 2.9%
2 1.4% 3.7% 4.9% 4.3% 2.9% 1.5%
3 0.5% 1.3% 1.8% 1.6% 1.0% 0.6%
4 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPaviaChievo
Played55
Form20%20%
Attack50%17%
Defense25%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pavia Chievo
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins13%13%13%50%63%56%
Draws38%38%38%13%13%13%
Loses50%50%50%38%25%31%

Form: Pavia: LLWLLLLDDWDDLLDD • Chievo: WWLWDWWWWDWLWLLL

League goals

Metric Pavia Chievo
HATHAT
GF total12719121426
GF avg1.50.91.21.51.81.6
GA total14152912820
GA avg1.81.91.81.51.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePaviaChievo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%81%69%
1.525%56%56%38%
2.513%38%19%19%
3.56%6%6%0%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPaviaChievo
HATHAT
Clean sheets224235
Failed to score224213

Penalties

MetricPaviaChievo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricPaviaChievo
Wins14
Draws21
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-14-11-3
Biggest losses2-53-00-33-2
Goals For4243
Goals Against5333

Model comparison

MetricPaviaChievo
Form50%50%
Att75%25%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total51.5%48.5%

Advice: Double chance : Pavia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.96 @ 1xBet
Draw3.35 @ Superbet
Away2.16 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.82 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.90 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ Superbet
No2.08 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Pavia = 1.08 (league 1.39), Chievo = 2.66 (league 1.22)

Chievo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pavia 0 2.4% 6.3% 8.4% 7.5% 5.0% 2.7%
1 2.6% 6.8% 9.1% 8.1% 5.4% 2.9%
2 1.4% 3.7% 4.9% 4.3% 2.9% 1.5%
3 0.5% 1.3% 1.8% 1.6% 1.0% 0.6%
4 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.9% · Draw 15.9% · Away win 65.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1