Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 13:30 • Leon Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.39) 1.33 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.1% 28.6% 53.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.4%
0 - 0
13.8%
0 - 2
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
USD Casatese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leon Monza e Brianza 0 13.8% 18.4% 12.3% 5.4% 1.8% 0.5%
1 8.9% 11.9% 7.9% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
2 2.9% 3.8% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeon Monza e BrianzaUSD Casatese
Played55
Form60%73%
Attack58%100%
Defense67%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leon Monza e Brianza USD Casatese
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins13%50%31%50%38%44%
Draws63%38%50%38%63%50%
Loses25%13%19%13%0%6%

Form: Leon Monza e Brianza: DDDDDLWWLLWDWDDW • USD Casatese: DLDDWWWDDWDWWWDD

League goals

Metric Leon Monza e Brianza USD Casatese
HATHAT
GF total71320151429
GF avg0.91.61.31.91.81.8
GA total77149817
GA avg0.90.90.91.11.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeon Monza e BrianzaUSD Casatese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%63%88%75%
1.550%25%50%19%
2.56%0%31%13%
3.50%0%13%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeon Monza e BrianzaUSD Casatese
HATHAT
Clean sheets336224
Failed to score325112

Penalties

MetricLeon Monza e BrianzaUSD Casatese
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLeon Monza e BrianzaUSD Casatese
Wins23
Draws52
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-34-10-3
Biggest losses1-21-01-3—
Goals For2343
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricLeon Monza e BrianzaUSD Casatese
Form45%55%
Att37%63%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h50%50%
Goals43%57%
Total45.3%54.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or USD Casatese

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ Betano
Draw3.28 @ Marathonbet
Away2.57 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.82 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.90 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ Superbet
No2.12 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leon Monza e Brianza = 0.65 (league 1.39), USD Casatese = 1.33 (league 1.22)

USD Casatese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leon Monza e Brianza 0 13.8% 18.4% 12.3% 5.4% 1.8% 0.5%
1 8.9% 11.9% 7.9% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
2 2.9% 3.8% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.1% · Draw 28.6% · Away win 53.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1