Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale Giovanni Provasi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.47 (league 1.41) 0.50 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.2% 47.5% 27.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
38.1%
0 - 1
19.0%
1 - 0
17.8%
Score & goals probability table
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castellanzese 0 38.1% 19.0% 4.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.8% 8.9% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.2% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCastellanzeseVirtus Ciserano Bergamo
Played55
Form33%87%
Attack42%50%
Defense42%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Castellanzese Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins38%25%31%50%25%38%
Draws38%38%38%25%50%38%
Loses25%38%31%25%25%25%

Form: Castellanzese: DDLDWWLLWWDDLDWL • Virtus Ciserano Bergamo: DDWLDWDLDLLWWWWD

League goals

Metric Castellanzese Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
HATHAT
GF total9142310515
GF avg1.11.81.41.30.60.9
GA total89177512
GA avg1.01.11.10.90.60.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCastellanzeseVirtus Ciserano Bergamo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%56%81%63%
1.531%44%13%13%
2.513%6%0%0%
3.56%0%0%0%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCastellanzeseVirtus Ciserano Bergamo
HATHAT
Clean sheets347336
Failed to score325033

Penalties

MetricCastellanzeseVirtus Ciserano Bergamo
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricCastellanzeseVirtus Ciserano Bergamo
Wins24
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-82-00-1
Biggest losses1-23-11-21-0
Goals For3821
Goals Against2321

Model comparison

MetricCastellanzeseVirtus Ciserano Bergamo
Form28%72%
Att45%55%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total36.3%63.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Virtus Ciserano Bergamo and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.70 @ William Hill
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away2.67 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ William Hill
No1.98 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.28 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.72 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Castellanzese = 0.47 (league 1.41), Virtus Ciserano Bergamo = 0.50 (league 1.21)

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castellanzese 0 38.1% 19.0% 4.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.8% 8.9% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.2% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.2% · Draw 47.5% · Away win 27.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1