Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Coni Castellina
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.26 (league 1.39) 2.97 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.7% 7.6% 82.6%
best score tips
0 - 2
17.5%
0 - 3
17.3%
0 - 4
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Folgore Caratese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sondrio 0 4.0% 11.8% 17.5% 17.3% 12.8% 7.6%
1 1.0% 3.0% 4.5% 4.5% 3.3% 2.0%
2 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSondrioFolgore Caratese
Played55
Form40%73%
Attack58%58%
Defense42%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sondrio Folgore Caratese
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins13%13%13%50%75%63%
Draws25%25%25%25%25%25%
Loses63%63%63%25%0%13%

Form: Sondrio: LLLLLLLDLLWLDWDD • Folgore Caratese: WWWWDWLDLWWDWWWD

League goals

Metric Sondrio Folgore Caratese
HATHAT
GF total5712111223
GF avg0.60.90.81.41.51.4
GA total1914339514
GA avg2.41.82.11.10.60.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSondrioFolgore Caratese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%94%94%63%
1.519%56%50%19%
2.50%19%0%6%
3.50%13%0%0%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSondrioFolgore Caratese
HATHAT
Clean sheets101246
Failed to score437101

Penalties

MetricSondrioFolgore Caratese
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricSondrioFolgore Caratese
Wins14
Draws11
Losses71

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-22-10-2
Biggest losses0-83-02-3—
Goals For2222
Goals Against8432

Model comparison

MetricSondrioFolgore Caratese
Form35%65%
Att50%50%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution10%90%
H2h20%80%
Goals25%75%
Total28.3%71.7%

Advice: Winner : Folgore Caratese

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.42 @ 1xBet
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away1.82 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.76 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Superbet
No1.86 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sondrio = 0.26 (league 1.39), Folgore Caratese = 2.97 (league 1.21)

Folgore Caratese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sondrio 0 4.0% 11.8% 17.5% 17.3% 12.8% 7.6%
1 1.0% 3.0% 4.5% 4.5% 3.3% 2.0%
2 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.7% · Draw 7.6% · Away win 82.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1