Tue, Jan 6 2026 • 13:30 • Campo Comunale
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.51 (league 1.38) 1.99 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.4% 18.9% 71.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.4%
0 - 2
16.3%
0 - 3
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Folgore Caratese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Varesina 0 8.3% 16.4% 16.3% 10.8% 5.4% 2.1%
1 4.2% 8.3% 8.3% 5.5% 2.7% 1.1%
2 1.1% 2.1% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVaresinaFolgore Caratese
Played55
Form20%73%
Attack40%60%
Defense20%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Varesina Folgore Caratese
HATHAT
Played98178917
Wins0%25%12%50%67%59%
Draws44%38%41%25%33%29%
Loses56%38%47%25%0%12%

Form: Varesina: LLWLDDDDDLDDLWLLL • Folgore Caratese: WWWWDWLDLWWDWWWDD

League goals

Metric Varesina Folgore Caratese
HATHAT
GF total91019111324
GF avg1.01.31.11.41.41.4
GA total1511269615
GA avg1.71.41.51.10.70.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVaresinaFolgore Caratese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%88%94%65%
1.535%59%47%18%
2.50%6%0%6%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVaresinaFolgore Caratese
HATHAT
Clean sheets112246
Failed to score314101

Penalties

MetricVaresinaFolgore Caratese
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricVaresinaFolgore Caratese
Wins14
Draws51
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-22-10-2
Biggest losses0-22-02-3—
Goals For2222
Goals Against3232

Model comparison

MetricVaresinaFolgore Caratese
Form21%79%
Att40%60%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution23%77%
H2h40%60%
Goals50%50%
Total32.3%67.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Folgore Caratese

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.35 @ 10Bet
Draw3.50 @ Betfair
Away2.23 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.84 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ Superbet
No2.00 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Varesina = 0.51 (league 1.38), Folgore Caratese = 1.99 (league 1.20)

Folgore Caratese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Varesina 0 8.3% 16.4% 16.3% 10.8% 5.4% 2.1%
1 4.2% 8.3% 8.3% 5.5% 2.7% 1.1%
2 1.1% 2.1% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.4% · Draw 18.9% · Away win 71.0%

vtt 3 , vtd1