Tue, Jan 6 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Pietro Fortunati
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.57 (league 1.38) 1.20 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.4% 30.8% 51.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
20.5%
0 - 0
17.1%
0 - 2
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Caldiero Terme
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pavia 0 17.1% 20.5% 12.3% 4.9% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.7% 11.6% 7.0% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 2.7% 3.3% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPaviaCaldiero Terme
Played55
Form13%47%
Attack60%70%
Defense0%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pavia Caldiero Terme
HATHAT
Played98178917
Wins11%13%12%25%33%29%
Draws33%38%35%50%44%47%
Loses56%50%53%25%22%24%

Form: Pavia: LLWLLLLDDWDDLLDDL • Caldiero Terme: WDDDDLLWDWDDWLLDW

League goals

Metric Pavia Caldiero Terme
HATHAT
GF total1271912719
GF avg1.30.91.11.50.81.1
GA total16153111516
GA avg1.81.91.81.40.60.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePaviaCaldiero Terme
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%76%71%65%
1.524%59%35%29%
2.512%35%6%0%
3.56%6%0%0%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPaviaCaldiero Terme
HATHAT
Clean sheets224156
Failed to score325145

Penalties

MetricPaviaCaldiero Terme
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricPaviaCaldiero Terme
Wins11
Draws24
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-13-00-2
Biggest losses2-53-00-22-1
Goals For4232
Goals Against5322

Model comparison

MetricPaviaCaldiero Terme
Form22%78%
Att46%54%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total36.0%64.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Caldiero Terme

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.80 @ 10Bet
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.10 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Superbet
No1.95 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pavia = 0.57 (league 1.38), Caldiero Terme = 1.20 (league 1.20)

Caldiero Terme
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pavia 0 17.1% 20.5% 12.3% 4.9% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.7% 11.6% 7.0% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 2.7% 3.3% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.4% · Draw 30.8% · Away win 51.6%

vtt 2 , vtd1