Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 13:30 • Leon Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.75 (league 1.39) 0.80 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.5% 36.0% 33.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
21.2%
0 - 1
17.0%
1 - 0
15.9%
Score & goals probability table
Milan II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leon Monza e Brianza 0 21.2% 17.0% 6.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.9% 12.7% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 6.0% 4.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeon Monza e BrianzaMilan II
Played55
Form60%73%
Attack43%64%
Defense79%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leon Monza e Brianza Milan II
HATHAT
Played98178917
Wins11%50%29%63%33%47%
Draws67%38%53%25%22%24%
Loses22%13%18%13%44%29%

Form: Leon Monza e Brianza: DDDDDLWWLLWDWDDWD • Milan II: WDWDWLLLWWLLWDWWD

League goals

Metric Leon Monza e Brianza Milan II
HATHAT
GF total71320151126
GF avg0.81.61.21.91.21.5
GA total771491221
GA avg0.80.90.81.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeon Monza e BrianzaMilan II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%59%76%82%
1.547%24%53%41%
2.56%0%24%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeon Monza e BrianzaMilan II
HATHAT
Clean sheets437213
Failed to score426134

Penalties

MetricLeon Monza e BrianzaMilan II
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLeon Monza e BrianzaMilan II
Wins22
Draws51
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-33-02-3
Biggest losses1-21-00-22-1
Goals For2333
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricLeon Monza e BrianzaMilan II
Form45%55%
Att40%60%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total50.2%50.0%

Advice: Double chance : Leon Monza e Brianza or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.70 @ Superbet
Draw3.15 @ 188Bet
Away2.60 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Betfair
No1.92 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leon Monza e Brianza = 0.75 (league 1.39), Milan II = 0.80 (league 1.20)

Milan II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leon Monza e Brianza 0 21.2% 17.0% 6.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.9% 12.7% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 6.0% 4.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.5% · Draw 36.0% · Away win 33.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1