Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 13:30 •
Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.39)
2.07 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 21.1% | 21.0% | 55.9% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.8%
1 - 1
9.5%
0 - 2
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Castellanzese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Caldiero Terme | 0 | 3.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 4.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Caldiero Terme | Castellanzese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 64% | 50% |
| Defense | 43% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Caldiero Terme | Castellanzese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 10 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| Wins | 25% | 40% | 33% | 40% | 25% | 33% |
| Draws | 50% | 40% | 44% | 30% | 38% | 33% |
| Loses | 25% | 20% | 22% | 30% | 38% | 33% |
Form: Caldiero Terme: WDDDDLLWDWDDWLLDWW • Castellanzese: DDLDWWLLWWDDLDWLWL
League goals
| Metric | Caldiero Terme | Castellanzese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 10 | 22 | 12 | 14 | 26 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 11 | 6 | 17 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Caldiero Terme | Castellanzese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 67% | 67% | 61% |
| 1.5 | 39% | 28% | 33% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 0% | 17% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Caldiero Terme | Castellanzese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Caldiero Terme | Castellanzese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Caldiero Terme | Castellanzese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 3-1 | 0-8 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Caldiero Terme | Castellanzese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 54.5% | 45.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Caldiero Terme or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Caldiero Terme = 1.18 (league 1.39), Castellanzese = 2.07 (league 1.22)
| Castellanzese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Caldiero Terme | 0 | 3.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 4.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.1% · Draw 21.0% · Away win 55.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1