Serie D - Girone B — Italy
Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Carlo Rossoni
Match Finished

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo

1 - 0

Leon Monza e Brianza

Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.39) 1.20 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.9% 29.8% 44.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.6%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Leon Monza e Brianza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 0 13.0% 15.6% 9.3% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3%
1 10.9% 13.1% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 4.6% 5.5% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVirtus Ciserano BergamoLeon Monza e Brianza
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack55%36%
Defense64%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Virtus Ciserano Bergamo Leon Monza e Brianza
HATHAT
Played8101810818
Wins50%30%39%10%50%28%
Draws25%40%33%60%38%50%
Loses25%30%28%30%13%22%

Form: Virtus Ciserano Bergamo: DDWLDWDLDLLWWWWDLW • Leon Monza e Brianza: DDDDDLWWLLWDWDDWDL

League goals

Metric Virtus Ciserano Bergamo Leon Monza e Brianza
HATHAT
GF total1081871320
GF avg1.30.81.00.71.61.1
GA total781510717
GA avg0.90.80.81.00.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVirtus Ciserano BergamoLeon Monza e Brianza
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%61%61%61%
1.517%17%44%28%
2.50%6%6%6%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVirtus Ciserano BergamoLeon Monza e Brianza
HATHAT
Clean sheets347437
Failed to score033527

Penalties

MetricVirtus Ciserano BergamoLeon Monza e Brianza
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricVirtus Ciserano BergamoLeon Monza e Brianza
Wins42
Draws25
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-22-01-3
Biggest losses1-23-10-31-0
Goals For2223
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricVirtus Ciserano BergamoLeon Monza e Brianza
Form63%38%
Att60%40%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h71%29%
Goals60%40%
Total59.2%41.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Virtus Ciserano Bergamo or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.39 @ Dafabet
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away2.80 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No1.88 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.64 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…
League page • Country page • Venue page • Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Leon Monza e Brianza

Expected goals (λ): Virtus Ciserano Bergamo = 0.84 (league 1.39), Leon Monza e Brianza = 1.20 (league 1.20)

Leon Monza e Brianza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 0 13.0% 15.6% 9.3% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3%
1 10.9% 13.1% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 4.6% 5.5% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.9% · Draw 29.8% · Away win 44.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1