Milan II vs Pavia

Serie D - Girone B — Italy

Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Felice Chinetti

Not Started

Milan II

—

Pavia

Expected Goals

2.59 (league 1.39) 0.81 (league 1.22)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
70.7%	15.0%	9.4%

best score tips

2 - 0

11.1%

3 - 0

9.6%

2 - 1

9.1%

Score & goals probability table

		Pavia
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Milan II	0	3.3%	2.7%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	8.6%	7.0%	2.9%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%
	2	11.1%	9.1%	3.7%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
	3	9.6%	7.8%	3.2%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%
	4	6.2%	5.1%	2.1%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	3.2%	2.6%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Milan II	Pavia
Played	5	5
Form	73%	13%
Attack	79%	43%
Defense	64%	14%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	11 \| 2.2	6 \| 1.2
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	5 \| 1	12 \| 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%

FT probability

2.5+

58%

FT probability

3.5+

41%

FT probability

BTTS

73%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Milan II			Pavia
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	8	10	18	10	8	18
Wins	63%	40%	50%	10%	13%	11%
Draws	25%	20%	22%	30%	38%	33%
Loses	13%	40%	28%	60%	50%	56%

Form: Milan II: WDWDWLLLWWLLWDWWDW • Pavia: LLWLLLLDDWDDLLDDLL

League goals

Metric	Milan II			Pavia
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	15	14	29	13	7	20
GF avg	1.9	1.4	1.6	1.3	0.9	1.1
GA total	9	12	21	19	15	34
GA avg	1.1	1.2	1.2	1.9	1.9	1.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Milan II		Pavia
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	78%	78%	72%	78%
1.5	56%	39%	22%	61%
2.5	28%	0%	11%	39%
3.5	0%	0%	6%	6%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Milan II			Pavia
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	2	2	4	2	2	4
Failed to score	1	3	4	3	2	5

Penalties

Metric	Milan II	Pavia
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Milan II	Pavia
Wins	2	1
Draws	1	2
Losses	3	4

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	3-0	0-3	4-0	0-1
Biggest losses	0-2	2-1	2-5	3-0
Goals For	3	3	4	2
Goals Against	2	2	5	3

Model comparison

Metric	Milan II	Pavia
Form	85%	15%
Att	65%	35%
Def	71%	29%
Poisson Distribution	79%	21%
H2h	100%	0%
Goals	67%	33%
Total	73.4%	26.6%

Advice: Winner : Milan II

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ Betano

Draw3.50 @ 1xBet

Away4.54 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ 1xBet

Under 2.51.80 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ 1xBet

No1.90 @ 1xBet

Bookmaker: Select to view full market tables.

Unibet Updated: 2026-01-09T16:30:20+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	1.70
Draw	3.35
Away	4.30

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.24
Under 1.5	3.10
Over 2.5	1.84
Under 2.5	1.73
Over 3.5	3.05
Under 3.5	1.26

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.77
No	1.83

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.13
Home/Away	1.21
Draw/Away	1.88

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.23
Draw	2.23
Away	4.40

1xBet Updated: 2026-01-09T16:30:20+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	1.71
Draw	3.50
Away	4.54

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home +0	1.28
Away +0	3.25
Home -1.5	2.78
Away -1.5	1.35

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.28
Under 1.5	3.25
Over 2.5	1.90
Under 2.5	1.80
Over 3.5	3.15
Under 3.5	1.29

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.86
No	1.90

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	4.40
2:0	5.00
2:1	5.40
3:0	8.20
3:1	9.00
3:2	19.00
4:0	18.00
4:1	20.00
0:0	6.38
1:1	4.40
2:2	10.00
0:1	7.80
0:2	16.00
0:3	50.00
1:2	9.80
1:3	30.00
2:3	35.00
3:3	60.00
0:4	100.00
1:4	100.00
2:4	100.00
4:2	45.00
0:5	100.00
0:6	100.00
1:5	100.00
1:6	100.00
2:5	100.00
2:6	100.00
3:4	100.00
5:0	50.00
5:1	60.00
5:2	100.00
6:0	100.00
6:1	100.00
6:2	100.00
4:3	100.00
3:5	100.00
3:6	100.00
4:5	100.00
4:6	100.00
5:3	100.00
5:4	100.00
5:6	100.00
6:3	100.00
6:4	100.00
6:5	100.00
4:4	100.00
7:0	100.00
7:1	100.00
7:2	100.00
7:3	100.00
7:4	100.00
7:5	100.00
7:6	100.00
8:0	100.00
8:1	100.00
8:2	100.00
8:3	100.00
8:4	100.00
8:5	100.00
8:6	100.00
8:7	100.00
9:0	100.00
9:1	100.00
9:2	100.00
9:3	100.00
9:4	100.00
9:5	100.00
9:6	100.00
9:7	100.00
9:8	100.00
10:0	100.00
10:1	100.00
10:2	100.00
10:3	100.00
10:4	100.00
10:5	100.00
10:6	100.00
10:7	100.00
10:8	100.00
10:9	100.00
5:5	100.00
6:6	100.00
7:7	100.00
8:8	100.00
9:9	100.00
10:10	100.00
0:7	100.00
0:8	100.00
0:9	100.00
0:10	100.00
1:7	100.00
1:8	100.00
1:9	100.00
1:10	100.00
2:7	100.00
2:8	100.00
2:9	100.00
2:10	100.00
3:7	100.00
3:8	100.00
3:9	100.00
3:10	100.00
4:7	100.00
4:8	100.00
4:9	100.00
4:10	100.00
5:7	100.00
5:8	100.00
5:9	100.00
5:10	100.00
6:7	100.00
6:8	100.00
6:9	100.00
6:10	100.00
7:8	100.00
7:9	100.00
7:10	100.00
8:9	100.00
8:10	100.00
9:10	100.00

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.83
Under 1.5	1.87

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.55
Under 0.5	2.24

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.90
Even	1.80

Bet ID 23 — Home Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.91
Even	1.80

Bet ID 60 — Away Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	2.17
Even	1.62

Betano Updated: 2026-01-09T16:30:20+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	1.72
Draw	3.40
Away	4.30

Bet ID 2 — Home/Away

Selection	Odds
Home	1.29
Away	3.00

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.05
Draw	2.47
Away	4.20

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -0.75	1.87
Away -0.75	1.75

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 2.5	1.87
Under 2.5	1.78

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.39
Under 0.5	2.45
Over 1.0	1.82
Under 1.0	1.72

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	14.50
Home/Away	45.00
Draw/Away	9.00
Draw/Draw	5.00
Home/Home	2.70
Draw/Home	4.25
Away/Home	24.00
Away/Draw	15.00
Away/Away	7.60

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	5.30
2:0	6.20
2:1	6.30
3:0	10.00
3:1	10.25
3:2	18.00
4:0	20.00
4:1	21.00
0:0	9.50
1:1	5.40
2:2	11.25
0:1	8.75
0:2	17.00
0:3	45.00
1:2	10.50
1:3	28.00
2:3	30.00
3:3	45.00
0:4	150.00
1:4	90.00
2:4	100.00
4:2	37.00
1:5	400.00
2:5	400.00
3:4	150.00
5:0	50.00
5:1	50.00
5:2	90.00
6:0	150.00
6:1	150.00
6:2	250.00
4:3	90.00
5:3	200.00
4:4	300.00

Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half

Selection	Odds
Draw	3.20
1st Half	3.05
2nd Half	1.95

Bet ID 31 — Correct Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
1:0	2.82
2:0	5.90
2:1	11.00
3:0	16.50
3:1	32.00
3:2	100.00
4:0	60.00
4:1	110.00
0:0	2.45
1:1	5.30
2:2	35.00
0:1	4.45
0:2	14.50
0:3	65.00
1:2	17.50
1:3	80.00
2:3	150.00

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.19
Home/Away	1.26
Draw/Away	1.91

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.30
Draw	2.07
Away	4.65

Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half

Selection	Odds
Home -0.25	1.78
Away -0.25	1.75

Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.17
Home/Away	1.60
Draw/Away	1.50

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.85
Even	1.80

Bet ID 109 — Draw No Bet (1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Home	1.36
Away	2.62

Bet ID 182 — Draw No Bet (2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Home	1.35
Away	2.65

Selection	Odds
Home	1.69
Draw	3.50
Away	4.50

📊

League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Milan II vs Pavia

Expected goals (λ): Milan II = 2.59 (league 1.39), Pavia = 0.81 (league 1.22)

		Pavia
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Milan II	0	3.3%	2.7%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	8.6%	7.0%	2.9%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%
	2	11.1%	9.1%	3.7%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
	3	9.6%	7.8%	3.2%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%
	4	6.2%	5.1%	2.1%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	3.2%	2.6%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.7% · Draw 15.0% · Away win 9.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Milan II	Pavia
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0