Sun, Jan 18 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio Comunale Giovanni Provasi
Expected Goals
0.52 (league 1.39)
1.19 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.1% | 31.1% | 52.6% |
best score tips
0 - 1
21.5%
0 - 0
18.1%
0 - 2
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Folgore Caratese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Castellanzese | 0 | 18.1% | 21.5% | 12.8% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Castellanzese | Folgore Caratese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 60% |
| Attack | 75% | 75% |
| Defense | 13% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Castellanzese | Folgore Caratese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 9 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| Wins | 40% | 22% | 32% | 56% | 60% | 58% |
| Draws | 30% | 44% | 37% | 22% | 40% | 32% |
| Loses | 30% | 33% | 32% | 22% | 0% | 11% |
Form: Castellanzese: DDLDWWLLWWDDLDWLWLD • Folgore Caratese: WWWWDWLDLWWDWWWDDDW
League goals
| Metric | Castellanzese | Folgore Caratese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 15 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 11 | 10 | 21 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Castellanzese | Folgore Caratese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 63% | 89% | 58% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 42% | 47% | 16% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 5% | 5% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Castellanzese | Folgore Caratese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Castellanzese | Folgore Caratese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Castellanzese | Folgore Caratese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-8 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | 2-3 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 8 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Castellanzese | Folgore Caratese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 22% | 78% |
| Poisson Distribution | 35% | 65% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 38% | 62% |
| Total | 36.3% | 63.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Folgore Caratese and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Castellanzese = 0.52 (league 1.39), Folgore Caratese = 1.19 (league 1.20)
| Folgore Caratese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Castellanzese | 0 | 18.1% | 21.5% | 12.8% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.1% · Draw 31.1% · Away win 52.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1