Sun, Jan 25 2026 • 13:30 •
Campo Sportivo Comunale Tassara
Expected Goals
1.59 (league 1.39)
0.67 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 58.9% | 24.9% | 15.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.5%
2 - 0
13.1%
1 - 1
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Pavia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Breno | 0 | 10.4% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.5% | 11.1% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.1% | 8.9% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Breno | Pavia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 33% |
| Attack | 64% | 27% |
| Defense | 27% | 45% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Breno | Pavia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 11 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| Wins | 44% | 27% | 35% | 9% | 22% | 15% |
| Draws | 44% | 18% | 30% | 36% | 33% | 35% |
| Loses | 11% | 55% | 35% | 55% | 44% | 50% |
Form: Breno: DDDWDLWWDLLLDWLWLWWL • Pavia: LLWLLLLDDWDDLLDDLLWD
League goals
| Metric | Breno | Pavia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 17 | 29 | 13 | 8 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 8 | 21 | 29 | 19 | 15 | 34 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Breno | Pavia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 75% | 70% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 55% | 50% | 20% | 55% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 15% | 10% | 35% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Breno | Pavia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Breno | Pavia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Breno | Pavia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 2-5 | 4-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-0 | 2-5 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Breno | Pavia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 70% | 30% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 64.6% | 35.4% |
Advice: Double chance : Breno or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Breno = 1.59 (league 1.39), Pavia = 0.67 (league 1.20)
| Pavia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Breno | 0 | 10.4% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.5% | 11.1% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.1% | 8.9% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.9% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 15.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1